Last Friday, I commented that the spike in the share price of Ascott REIT seemed weak and that "Ascott's leap today did so on a rather small volume. Futhermore, you can notice the volume making lower highs. Such divergence in volume and price movement must be viewed with caution. Don't be an "ass caught" (pun intended) as prices may be sent downwards hereafter." See Ascott Reit Making A Weak Leap for details.
We can see from the chart that prices failed in its attempt to break through resistance at $1.28. However, as noted too that, "support seems to be strong from the collision of the 14day moving average with the 50dma at $1.22.", prices did indeed drop back to support levels ending the day at the predicted price.
But will the support hold?
Unfortunately, in the near term, the charts are rather unclear. There is no obvious trend from the indicators other than a slight dip in the MFI, a seeming plateauing of the OBV and a recent crossover in the Stochastics. These suggest selling and that prices could possibly dip for a couple more days but there is no strong trend from the ADX. MACD however looks set to cross, furthermore into negative territory which could drive prices down further.
However, as today's closing price coincides at the 14 day moving average, this may provide some stability in the price. The 50 dma too, trails at $1.21. As such, we might very well see prices hovering around its current support at $1.21 to $1.23 for the next few days.
That said, my personal opinion from all the clues and options is that I expect prices to drop a bit more before picking up, possibly even breeching $1.21 to its previous support at $1.20. As volume is still weak I doubt there'll be any testing of the $1.28 resistance any time soon.
Not vested,
~K
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