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Showing posts with label OSIM. Show all posts
Showing posts with label OSIM. Show all posts

Monday, January 17, 2011

OSIM Making a Double Top or Ascending Triangle?

In my previous post on OSIM, I pointed out that "In the near term, stock price should continue to trend higher. But with decreasing volume, there may be a correction at hand." Refer to Will OSIM Dual Listing Plans Cause Price to Continue Rising?. Sure enough, prices rose for another three days before undergoing the anticipated correction as we can see from the chart below where I indicated when I made that statement with the blue arrow.


Currently price looks to be rolling over and forming either one of two formations - a double top or an ascending triangle.

To note, volume is still lower than compared to the previous time it reached resistance. This in no way helps bouy prices up to prevent the double top breaking down and sending prices lower from becoming a reality. Furthermore, from the MACD and Stochastics, prices may head lower in the short term. We will only know if the ill-result of the double top formation materializes should prices break below the neckline at $1.47. If so, prices are expected to drop further. However, the 50 day moving average which stands at ~$1.53 should provide some support which I expect prices to dip to judging from price behaviour.

That said, there seems to be some support at $1.62 as well as the 14dma (albeit looking weak). If this holds, we could see the formation of an ascending triangle instead. However, price movement today managed to push through this support to $1.60 before closing three cents higher to $1.63. This gives me mixed feelings at present. The next couple of days should give a clearer picture. If the ascending triangle pattern does hold, then a breakout would probably see prices head higher. This could occur as the market sentiment still remains bullish.

Not vested,
~K

Monday, December 6, 2010

Will OSIM Dual Listing Plans Cause Price to Continue Rising?

This art of resting the mind and the power of dismissing from it all care and worry is probably one of the secrets of energy in our great men.
~ Captain J. A. Hadfield

For those of you unfamiliar, OSIM is in the business of creating products designed to increase your well-being. They are known mostly for their massage chairs being the biggest maker of massage chairs in Asia, outside Japan.

The company has been doing constant share buybacks as far back as Dec last year before the recession was declared over. Most notably, the company has made more frequent share buybacks since May this year. These share buybacks have increased shareholder value by increasing its earnings per share (EPS). Do note that this does not mean the company's profits is increasing as profits may remain stagnant despite rise in EPS. OSIM however, has shown strong increase in its earnings announcing an 86% rise in its 3Q earnings y-o-y despite sales being "marginally down" attributed to the conversion of its GNC Australian subsidiary into a franchise outlet.

OSIM has been rather flat since Mar this year despite the buybacks. However, the increase in profitability in the 3Q seemed to serve as the catalist to cause the share price to rise once more. The share price has been in an uptrend since the 3rd week of Oct.


From the chart, we can see the clear uptrend, supported by the 14 day moving average.  However, Stochastics and MACD indicators show that the share has been overbought for a long time now. MFI & OBV indicates strong accumulation with MFI soon to reach the overbought zone too. However, despite being overbought, ADX shows that this trend is still very strong. Even when prices seemed to be dipping on the 30th of Nov, news of their dual listing in Taiwan caused the price to bounce higher once more. (For further readings on OSIM, pls refer to links at the bottom of this post.)

In the near term, stock price should continue trending higher. But with decreasing volume, there may be a correction at hand. Hopefully the rising 14dma will help support it. A break below the 14dma, may see prices dipping to the next support at $1.28.

Not vested. Just charting for practice. If there's any comments or corrections, pls feel free to post below.

Happy Monday everyone  =)

~K











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